Russia attacks Ukraine: Markets will have to readjust to the shock

Market reaction: The worst-case scenario of a full blown attack to Ukraine has materialised. It’s risk-off on Russian assets; global risk assets are under severe pressure. Global markets were not pricing in a war scenario and are now adjusting given the magnitude of this military move. It will take time for the situation to settle … Continued

Russia-Ukraine escalation adds to the case for additional protection

Understanding the economic and investment fallout of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The investment landscape has become riskier. The escalation in geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, with Russian military forces entering the Donbas region, adds to the uncertainty regarding central bank actions to fight inflationary pressures. Volatility has risen in both bonds and equities which, overall, remain … Continued

Europe in the Global Order

Amundi has initiated a series of interviews on major themes usually addressed during the Amundi World Investment Forum with renowned speakers. Discover the first theme ‘Europe in the Gobal Order’ featuring: Enrico LettaFormer Prime Minister of Italy(2013-2014) Thomas PhilipponMax L. Heine Professor of Finance at New York University Stern School of Business,Administrator Think Tank EuropaNova … Continued

The Day After #10 – Rethinking the macro and cross-asset research: what we have learned from the Covid-19 crisis

Covid-19 accelerated markets’ entropy and risk takers will evolve their investment approaches Crises create disruption and Covid-19 is no exception, bringing new complexities, new opportunities and new risks to the investment landscape. From our research angle, we realised that the pandemic triggered: A fast-evolving macro financial environment. A common global ‘health’ shock affecting economies and … Continued

The Day After #8 – Deglobalisation could improve diversification but also exacerbate financial contagion

In recent years world trade dynamics have definitely shown an accentuated inversion of the globalisation trend and its robust contribution to global economic performance. The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) marked a historic turning point in the degree of global economic integration. Since 2007/08 global trade has entered a period of increasingly protectionist policies (trade barriers, … Continued

Biden’s election momentum and financial markets

Joe Biden has a historically large lead over President Donald Trump in the polls, including in the critical electoral college vote, but that could narrow closer to the election. The slide in Trump’s approval rating was most noticeable among senior citizens and he has not led in a single major poll so far this year, … Continued

The Day After #6 – Inflation: persistent headwinds but a possible inflationary cocktail

Since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, all eyes have been on the unfolding health catastrophe and the consequences of confinement: economies halted, exploding rates of unemployment (in particular in the United States), and rising debt levels. In this extraordinary context, inflation is often overlooked. This is a dangerous mistake, in our view. For investors, … Continued

The Day After #5 – New frontiers for Central Banks

Central Banks (CBs) are by nature more flexible than governments. Thus, they have been the most proactive in this crisis, reintroducing large-scale asset-purchase programmes financed by money creation (QE policies). With this pandemic, a spectacular change in economic policy has taken place in just a few months: fiscal and monetary policies have become intertwined, and … Continued

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